Trivial-Industrialization
0x274e7d48f5b244731cb743b970e075a1f27701e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$8.83
Total PnL
$-157.74
Realised
$-3.42
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.48
$0.50
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
23 shares @ 11.9¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.26
$-0.44
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
101 shares @ 5.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.57
$-4.43
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
25 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
562 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
441 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-23.12
- YES
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
174 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
111 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.70May 25, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.71May 25, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.00May 25, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$1.00May 23, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$3.98May 23, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 23, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.89May 23, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?$6.87May 23, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.00May 22, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.00May 22, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?$2.80May 20, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$6.00May 19, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$8.74May 19, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$4.70May 19, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$3.99May 19, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.32May 19, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$4.00May 19, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$12.50May 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.50May 17, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$3.00May 17, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".