Royal-Manhunt
0x276b10cbede8bf3dfee677be1b9485ac2606a5fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$21.63
Total PnL
$-46.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$12.73
$8.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 21?
15 shares @ 27.5¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.13
$-0.87
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 21?
33 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.87
$-2.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.67
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 21?
64 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.19
$-1.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 13?
126 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 14?
112 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?
30 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 21?$4.18May 19, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 21?$4.15May 19, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 15?$0.00May 19, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?$0.00May 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 21?$2.10May 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?$3.12May 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$5.01May 19, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?$4.14May 19, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$4.14May 19, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 20?$4.12May 19, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$4.14May 19, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?$0.00May 18, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 18?$7.26May 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?$9.30May 17, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 18?$9.36May 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?$10.33May 17, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?$0.00May 16, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 16?$0.00May 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 17?$12.53May 16, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?$12.42May 16, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 03:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".