Fake-Inn
0x2783e38aa7b7d1ba8a7f3cef36bed993f3138321
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$13.6K
Total PnL
$256.71
Realised
$48.38
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
4371 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.3K
$38.25
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
2353 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$28.39
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
1803 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$60.82
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
1349 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.3K
$22.30
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1200 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$3.60
- NO
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
613 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$597.58
$9.40
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
500 shares @ 90.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$467.75
$13.46
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
399 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$390.55
$6.20
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
399 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$389.34
$5.20
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
399 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$389.33
$5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01May 18, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$98.50May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$98.60May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$2.1KMay 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Lai released by June 30?$99.30May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Lai released by June 30?$99.20May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$99.00May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$1.02May 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$0.89May 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$1.02May 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$2.0KMay 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$300.44May 18, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$300.14May 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?$96.20May 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$83.13May 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.88May 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$95.00May 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$96.00May 17, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$96.00May 17, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $108.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".