Limp-Crystal
0x278f442b68b06e99461c123139d3233265e910b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$411.84
Total PnL
$-398.98
Realised
$-62.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
346 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$181.73
$1.73
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
181 shares @ 32.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$83.38
$25.38
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
750 shares @ 13.3¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.50
$-32.50
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
734 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.73
$-33.04
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
750 shares @ 5.3¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.51
$-8.49
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
967 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
329 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$180.00May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$58.00May 17, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$237.75May 17, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$189.79May 16, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$40.00May 16, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$230.10May 14, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$100.00Apr 26, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$100.00Apr 26, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$192.86Apr 25, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$100.00Apr 24, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$25.00Apr 23, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$150.00Apr 23, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$80.77Apr 23, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$369.98Apr 23, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$440.83Apr 23, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$8.58Apr 18, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$10.48Apr 18, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$209.00Apr 18, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$56.80Apr 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$54.10Apr 18, 14:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $120.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".