Untidy-Raise
0x280257a0fb2d50840f1d3b42244bb2ab7aad6f1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$12.1K
Total PnL
$790.68
Realised
$401.25
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
7830 shares @ 63.6¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.3K
$1.4K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5043 shares @ 79.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$158.71
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
2319 shares @ 66.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-417.64
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4605 shares @ 4.6¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$306.24
$95.81
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2470 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$80.28
$5.29
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
711 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.44
$4.44
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1126 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.70
$-9.30
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.34
$-7.66
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.27
$-7.73
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.70
$0.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$51.93May 1, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.03May 1, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.03May 1, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $773.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 01:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".