Dearest-Cowbell-Crunch
0x282e29ba8b717c9941f49e40d6cd7970aee4e8e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-393.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1301 shares @ 76.9¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$793.36
$-206.64
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
556 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$519.90
$13.90
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
348 shares @ 86.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$308.32
$8.32
- NO
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
340 shares @ 96.4¢·now 59.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$200.72
$-127.28
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
453 shares @ 44.1¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$179.02
$-20.98
- NO
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$117.65
$17.65
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
394 shares @ 25.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$49.24
$-51.76
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.68
$8.52
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1316 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.13
$-34.87
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.09
$0.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$1.53May 17, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$0.87May 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$0.89May 17, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.11May 15, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.89May 15, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.90May 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.05May 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$102.96May 12, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12.80May 12, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$113.80May 12, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 9, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$1.08May 9, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$1.03May 9, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$20.15May 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$100.00May 6, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$135.29May 6, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$328.47May 2, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$100.00May 1, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$200.00Apr 30, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$506.00Apr 30, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $123.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".