Super-Arena
0x28ab2147f54270b141e6a0fc9c90043ded572048
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-22.2K
Realised
$-30.80
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
648 shares @ 62.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$599.51
$196.28
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
402 shares @ 50.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$372.25
$171.03
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
490 shares @ 42.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$370.29
$162.94
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
370 shares @ 47.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$312.96
$138.89
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
241 shares @ 83.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$240.39
$40.29
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
237 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$236.56
$37.75
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
255 shares @ 78.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$235.66
$36.94
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
252 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$233.96
$35.22
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
341 shares @ 59.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$213.14
$9.70
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
333 shares @ 59.9¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$211.50
$11.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$4.99May 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?$0.05May 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?$1.63May 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?$1.63May 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?$1.63May 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSteve Bannon exonerated by June 30?$1.75May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by May 31, 2026?$0.13May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$4.94May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$4.94May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$4.96May 18, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.98May 18, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 18, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?$5.00May 18, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 18, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 18, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$5.91May 18, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$6.36May 18, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?$6.41May 18, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$6.75May 18, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?$7.63May 18, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".