Direct-Plumber
0x28c92641825bb0b0229980a000ff845ee80999aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-972.92
Realised
$115.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
547 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$547.00
$56.34
- MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN EVANGELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
1033 shares @ 14.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$516.50
$371.88
- OPENAI
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
1973 shares @ 44.8¢·now 20.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$409.40
$-474.51
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
400 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$399.80
$0.20
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
196 shares @ 42.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$143.08
$60.76
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$41.17
$1.15
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
195 shares @ 27.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.50
$-33.15
- PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$4.00
$0.80
- YES
Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?
143 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$0.79
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
798 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-474.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$40.02Apr 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$36.12Apr 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$46.20Apr 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$121.20Apr 12, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$1.84Apr 12, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$122.36Apr 11, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$21.28Apr 11, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?$13.96Apr 10, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRyan Reynolds as Deadpool?$129.72Apr 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRyan Reynolds as Deadpool?$105.28Apr 7, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$105.08Mar 31, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$105.08Mar 29, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?$44.10Mar 26, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$60.39Mar 25, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$60.39Mar 24, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$61.08Mar 24, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?$100.80Mar 23, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$137.43Mar 23, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$490.66Mar 22, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLJustin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?$244.62Mar 21, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $165.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 10:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".