Qualified-Readiness
0x2946afc37ce5a8b1051b051f2fdb23f2be7d8eb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$175.57
Total PnL
$-234.40
Realised
$-62.63
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
3350 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$38.52
$-19.22
- YES
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?
1010 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$31.82
$21.82
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
141 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$24.67
$-4.93
- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?
117 shares @ 8.9¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.05
$5.65
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
460 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.26
$-8.74
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
1314 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.17
$-38.83
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
283 shares @ 6.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.21
$-9.79
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
650 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.78
$-4.22
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
987 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$8.39
$-41.61
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
612 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.20
$-24.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$7.00May 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$7.42May 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$7.00May 17, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$31.14May 17, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?$0.00May 17, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Audit" be said during Eurovision?$0.00May 17, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Budget" be said during Eurovision?$0.00May 17, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$0.00May 17, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$0.00May 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$1.04May 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$20.91May 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Audit" be said during Eurovision?$1.04May 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Budget" be said during Eurovision?$1.04May 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?$1.04May 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?$61.02May 17, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$1.59May 17, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$0.00May 17, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$10.41May 17, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$8.77May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 17, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $13.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".