0x29474e5232bc95fa5cdf88f0a94018c58c9c4cf4
0x29474e5232bc95fa5cdf88f0a94018c58c9c4cf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$422.53
Total PnL
$100.77
Realised
$34.31
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
169 shares @ 91.6¢·now 91.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$154.80
$-0.34
- NO
Will Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?
69 shares @ 77.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$69.17
$15.61
- NO
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?
61 shares @ 27.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$61.27
$44.49
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
42 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$32.13
$1.89
- NO
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?
122 shares @ 41.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.66
$-21.34
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
27 shares @ 32.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$26.65
$18.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.86
$4.87
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
79 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$14.60
$-0.39
- NO
Will Trump say "Jesus" or "Christ" this week?
11 shares @ 56.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$7.56
$1.19
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.98
$2.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$15.00May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jesus" or "Christ" this week?$6.36May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?$40.25May 18, 00:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.01May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?$9.75May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$172.63May 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$190.00May 17, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$160.00May 17, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$7.71May 17, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$65.21May 17, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$85.00May 17, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.29May 17, 04:04 UTC
- REWARD$4.32May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$36.70May 16, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$29.31May 16, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$190.00May 16, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$8.00May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$85.00May 16, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$45.88May 16, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$44.64May 16, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $45.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".