Likely-Optimisation
0x298e33cea1dc75e56ab0b59357e0b4760efb107e
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$187.17
Total PnL
$-321.81
Realised
$7.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
67 shares @ 70.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$48.34
$1.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 88.4¢·exp May 21, 2026$47.89
$-1.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 20?
29 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$26.73
$0.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 21?
28 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$26.00
$0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 22?
25 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$23.75
$0.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 22?
16 shares @ 77.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$14.47
$2.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?
60 shares @ 82.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-49.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-49.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
58 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 21?$25.86May 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 22?$11.50May 20, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 22?$11.50May 20, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 22?$12.38May 20, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$49.81May 20, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?$23.00May 20, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?$24.46May 20, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$14.85May 20, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$11.88May 19, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 20?$26.14May 19, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 19?$17.81May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?$0.54May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?$0.10May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 19?$8.19May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 19?$18.39May 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$54.44May 17, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?$50.53May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?$9.37May 17, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?$10.60May 17, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?$27.65May 17, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $18.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".