Nice-Equality
0x2a138471948c6096f1d5f618c9db23e0d3c7162a
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$587.75
Total PnL
$-0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
551 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$448.06
$172.67
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
551 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$102.72
$-172.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 21?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.48
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 21?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.29
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 21?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.10
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on May 21?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.10
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 21?$9.30May 20, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 21?$9.50May 20, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on May 21?$9.10May 20, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 21?$9.10May 20, 07:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on May 15?$9.71May 15, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?$9.31May 15, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C or below on May 15?$9.91May 15, 07:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 15, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 15?$9.51May 14, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 15?$9.50May 14, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C or below on May 15?$9.90May 14, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?$9.30May 14, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on May 15?$9.70May 14, 09:16 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$31.30May 14, 09:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 14, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $5.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 03:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".