Tricky-Courage
0x2a30ac56e30ae845faa9b07a3ea35663af8bc1b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$82.33
Total PnL
$-0.09
Realised
$-2.95
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
8 shares @ 65.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.60
$2.60
- NO
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 87.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.69
$0.69
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- NO
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.27
$0.26
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
5 shares @ 59.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.21
$2.12
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$5.10
$0.05
- NO
Will Acción Popular (AP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.05Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 25, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 25, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 11?$0.00Apr 25, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the April Meeting?$0.20Apr 25, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?$5.63Apr 25, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$7.12Apr 25, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?$0.30Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.62Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$2.42Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$3.33Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?$3.39Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?$5.07Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the April Meeting?$5.15Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?$5.28Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?$5.38Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?$5.46Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$5.73Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$6.02Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 7?$6.05Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".