Idle-Fourths
0x2acf345851bd6dbcee9c07d157f58386a4fdf9bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$276.01
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$4.72
Win rate
55%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?
99 shares @ 42.5¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$66.22
$24.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 20?
221 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$47.43
$3.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 20?
120 shares @ 36.4¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$44.49
$0.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?
57 shares @ 71.2¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$38.48
$-2.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 20?
35 shares @ 83.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$31.80
$2.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?
73 shares @ 28.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$21.78
$1.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 20?
179 shares @ 12.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$13.55
$-8.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 20?
101 shares @ 11.1¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$8.10
$-3.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 20?
416 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.16
$0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 12?
250 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-27.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?$2.48May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?$11.93May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?$6.08May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?$0.07May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?$0.69May 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?$2.56May 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?$5.61May 20, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?$7.01May 20, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?$0.30May 20, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?$7.01May 20, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?$3.36May 20, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?$3.66May 20, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?$0.43May 20, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?$0.92May 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?$1.67May 20, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?$8.49May 20, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 20?$4.55May 20, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 20?$3.88May 20, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 20?$3.30May 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 20?$0.50May 20, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".