Overlooked-Leverage
0x2ba03ca09de9f778890a6d0d8e3bc5167d476bc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$54.5K
Total PnL
$-14.1K
Realised
$-544.65
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
10000 shares @ 91.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.3K
$185.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10000 shares @ 89.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.3K
$265.00
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
9971 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.1K
$-9.99
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
10000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.0K
$750.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
24100 shares @ 74.2¢·now 31.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.5K
$-10.4K
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
270171 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
231657 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.7K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$-134.98
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
1163 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.1K
$7.72
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 43.5¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$810.00
$-59.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$57.71May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$40.79May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$21.97May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$24.18May 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$48.37May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$4.83May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$96.60May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$377.20May 18, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$100.00May 18, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?$100.00May 18, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$2.77May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$26.09May 17, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$79.24May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$59.32May 17, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$36.91May 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$32.33May 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$5.34May 17, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$96.00May 17, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAPYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?$8.01May 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?$94.00May 17, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $106.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".