Average-Counsellor
0x2bc8ba8fe0b8b8913ea4f6b53eb5369c8cbab4da
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$497.90
Win rate
61%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2887 shares @ 15.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$360.94
$-95.09
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
480 shares @ 73.3¢·now 68.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$330.50
$-21.51
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 60.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$309.00
$-51.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 34.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$205.99
$70.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
491 shares @ 46.1¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$196.44
$-30.20
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
450 shares @ 34.2¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$146.24
$-7.75
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
824 shares @ 14.5¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$123.61
$4.29
- YES
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
1300 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.50
$-18.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
200 shares @ 2.3¢·now 15.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$31.70
$27.19
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.13May 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$48.00May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$76.00May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$111.30May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.45May 18, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$23.30May 18, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$18.71May 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$83.00May 18, 02:43 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.71May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $16.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.27May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$9.83May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$20.17May 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$16.40May 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.13May 17, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.27May 17, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$9.81May 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$13.91May 17, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$68.00May 17, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$24.20May 17, 14:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 17:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".