Better-Mention
0x2c4ca29d332c67d3ad7bf22b3cfe9486e3b1cb39
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$33.5K
Total PnL
$-262.2K
Realised
$23.7K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
16668 shares @ 65.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$16.7K
$5.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
11111 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.5K
$2.6K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12351 shares @ 29.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$308.77
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
4840 shares @ 27.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$774.46
$-532.44
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
654 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$653.76
$385.77
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
3010 shares @ 23.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$496.71
$-195.67
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
248 shares @ 3.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$144.93
$137.51
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
20673 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.03
$-134.37
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24891 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.12
$-403.90
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
248 shares @ 3.0¢·now 30.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$76.68
$69.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$15.78May 9, 21:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 22, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $247.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".