Sardonic-Caper
0x2d6ce0b703efb60f8f356246bcdb98544a54e3f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$917.25
Total PnL
$-263.59
Realised
$2.35
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1210 shares @ 16.6¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$219.62
$18.75
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1160 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$193.14
$-7.54
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $150 in May?
43 shares @ 83.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$32.74
$-3.25
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
50 shares @ 76.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.50
$-5.50
- NO
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
92 shares @ 34.8¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.42
$-2.53
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$27.50
$-3.00
- YES
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.50
$-25.50
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
370 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.42
$-2.62
- NO
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
50 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$25.25
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$6.40May 18, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $108 in May?$18.50May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?$16.50May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in May?$8.50May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$6.80May 18, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?$1.90May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$11.42May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.98May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$27.00May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?$1.31May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?$0.06May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?$9.89May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?$0.11May 18, 00:56 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.09May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$27.50May 18, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?$19.50May 18, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?$10.50May 18, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?$3.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$14.91May 18, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".