Fumbling-Wrinkle
0x2d7b64fc3d047514626058d1c7f7e1e27900c33a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$906.51
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$-778.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?
500 shares @ 68.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$452.49
$112.50
- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
6905 shares @ 7.2¢·now 6.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$421.19
$-77.24
- YES
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 37.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.83
$3.20
- $60K
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
12901 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.4K
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
2055 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-479.25
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 17?
2000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 20?
1667 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1400 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-134.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 17?
1271 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
1150 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-586.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?$43.49May 20, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?$0.48May 20, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 20, 02:56 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.08May 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 20?$347.61May 19, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?$77.26May 19, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$161.75May 19, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$216.31May 19, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$8.77May 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$4.19May 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$4.25May 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$98.29May 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.65May 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$9.39May 19, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 13?$200.00May 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 13?$54.60May 13, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 13?$24.40May 13, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMFight to Go the Distance?$750.00May 10, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$222.13May 8, 11:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.77May 2, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $173.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".