Unimportant-Venture
0x2e423a228df8949284083adcd97b7068684a0dfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$630.91
Total PnL
$2.3K
Realised
$3.6K
Win rate
86%
147 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
550 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$447.43
$172.43
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
550 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$102.58
$-172.43
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
396 shares @ 8.8¢·now 5.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.16
$-12.69
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
134 shares @ 8.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.39
$4.16
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
285 shares @ 4.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.08
$2.11
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
181 shares @ 5.8¢·now 6.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.85
$1.40
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
133 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.82
$1.40
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
223 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.12
$3.08
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
121 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.04
$1.21
- YES
Netanyahu out by May 31?
176 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.05
$-1.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.03May 18, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.55May 18, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$3.02May 18, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$1.35May 18, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.75May 18, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.45May 18, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$0.25May 18, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.04May 18, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.06May 18, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.49May 18, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.94May 18, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.90May 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$12.94May 18, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$12.07May 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.07May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.07May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$0.06May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.11May 18, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$0.25May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.35May 18, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 147 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".