Frilly-Difference
0x2e6a5bfeb76cb28df7d8d8601c8d2ef96e4e7155
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-6.4K
Realised
$49.92
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
426 shares @ 73.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$377.31
$63.14
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
576 shares @ 37.5¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$215.85
$0.08
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
263 shares @ 58.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$190.41
$36.01
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
229 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.19
$-10.31
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
141 shares @ 82.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.14
$6.74
- NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
177 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$106.78
$-3.13
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.83
$-2.17
- YES
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
148 shares @ 63.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.06
$-0.46
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
669 shares @ 14.9¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.91
$-13.09
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
75 shares @ 73.1¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.21
$4.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.10May 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.20May 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.32May 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$2.44May 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.57May 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.74May 16, 04:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.88May 16, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$3.24May 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$3.24May 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$3.41May 15, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$3.56May 15, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$3.75May 15, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$3.98May 15, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.01May 15, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.06May 15, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$4.34May 15, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.25May 15, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 05:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".