Crisp-Scarf
0x2ed8f7a10686dbb0fb15f5c3335f30e0043793d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$17.7K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$322.56
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
2208 shares @ 82.3¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.9K
$102.64
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
2287 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.7K
$102.90
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
1552 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.3K
$170.90
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
1996 shares @ 78.6¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-281.43
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
1234 shares @ 91.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$93.07
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1059 shares @ 66.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.0K
$327.91
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
1079 shares @ 88.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.0K
$69.86
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1429 shares @ 16.1¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$772.81
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
1103 shares @ 69.8¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$972.96
$203.76
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
944 shares @ 85.6¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$849.61
$41.09
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.23May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$279.99May 16, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUK Recession in 2026?$41.50May 14, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?$17.14May 14, 06:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.39May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$155.06May 13, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?$0.00May 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?$0.00May 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.00May 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?$0.00May 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?$0.00May 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?$0.00May 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?$0.00May 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?$334.14May 13, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?$855.97May 13, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?$3.69May 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?$2.35May 12, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?$2.35May 12, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?$2.35May 12, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?$1.68May 12, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $168.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 10:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".