Watery-Tug
0x2f90713229adf6c89a9916601650cce833e8e17f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$403.91
Total PnL
$-115.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?
110 shares @ 51.0¢·now 75.2¢·exp May 20, 2026$82.76
$26.66
- NO
Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May?
80 shares @ 65.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.35
$24.49
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.20
$32.20
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.10
$15.10
- YES
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$23.40
$13.40
- NO
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 25.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.18
$-3.78
- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.55
$2.55
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.36
$2.36
- YES
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
44 shares @ 3.0¢·now 27.8¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$12.23
$10.91
- NO
Will Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
13 shares @ 71.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$11.63
$2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.05May 17, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?$6.67May 15, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$19.99May 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.12May 15, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$4.42May 15, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$12.01May 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?$9.31May 15, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?$4.02May 15, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Micware not IPO before July 2026?$20.00May 14, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?$57.20May 14, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micware not IPO before July 2026?$19.04May 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$18.07May 14, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?$9.41May 14, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$4.36May 13, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.50May 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$11.75May 13, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$49.99May 12, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 13?$5.23May 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?$0.66May 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?$4.23May 12, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".