Responsible-Hole
0x3022ebb3d83ba8e4d8a272d0e28174cfa49359c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$29.0K
Total PnL
$-35.38
Realised
$84.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10000 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.9K
$137.22
- NO
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
9557 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.1K
$19.11
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.8K
$-48.45
- NO
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
2044 shares @ 76.4¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.5K
$-69.51
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
1264 shares @ 90.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.3K
$109.22
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
1000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$991.00
$31.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2500 shares @ 37.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$608.75
$-316.25
- NO
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
200 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$194.90
$3.36
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 97.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$193.00
$-1.31
- NO
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.50
$20.50
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.19May 18, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$43.90May 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$45.00May 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Comey leave the country by May 15?$50.00May 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$5.0KMay 17, 13:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$151.00May 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$2.95May 13, 04:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$1.86May 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$2.92May 12, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$3.20May 12, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$110.39May 12, 09:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$26.15May 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$131.23May 11, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".