Medical-Dare
0x31a4b015bcd97c123ec2116c08b39e800dc41ee7
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-155.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
833 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$812.92
$12.92
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
426 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$424.12
$24.12
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
653 shares @ 61.2¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$362.62
$-37.38
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
305 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$301.37
$1.37
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
313 shares @ 96.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$285.78
$-14.22
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
1000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$225.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
610 shares @ 55.1¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$221.12
$-114.89
- NO
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
201 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$199.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1947 shares @ 7.2¢·now 9.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$185.92
$45.92
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
621 shares @ 16.1¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$154.35
$54.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.25May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$72.07May 4, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$54.35May 4, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.7 released by May 31?$104.17May 4, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$112.36May 4, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$274.58May 4, 02:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $120.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".