Common-Surge
0x31eafd012e3a2d9b5898c034bf9406016babb40e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$42.00
Total PnL
$-10.51
Realised
$-1.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
52 shares @ 19.1¢·now 23.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.28
$2.28
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
10 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Ami Bera advance from the CA-03 primary election?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 85.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$8.56
$-1.44
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 49.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.82
$0.32
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
196 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.47
$-8.53
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.05
$0.08
- YES
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?
224 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.01
$-2.90
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
2 shares @ 0.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$0.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jaylen Brown win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?$0.01May 7, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaylen Brown win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?$1.04May 7, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaylen Brown win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?$1.04May 7, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaylen Brown win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?$1.04May 7, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaylen Brown win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?$1.04May 6, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.96May 6, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.95May 5, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04May 5, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.95May 5, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04May 5, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.95May 5, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04May 5, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.95May 5, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04May 5, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$10.42May 4, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ami Bera advance from the CA-03 primary election?$10.10May 4, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.95May 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$10.10May 3, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".