Last-Underestimate
0x33359092c796ed9f5040b4849be8ed4f57e7e7d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$630.23
Total PnL
$-34.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
968 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$304.84
$4.84
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
36 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$35.45
$5.45
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?
33 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.95
$0.95
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?
32 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?
32 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?
32 shares @ 92.7¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.45
$-0.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$32.97May 17, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$32.61May 16, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$34.88May 15, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$0.00May 15, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$34.71May 15, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 14, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.46May 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.28May 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$20.30May 13, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 13, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman in jail by June 30?$10.39May 13, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?$32.39May 13, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?$0.00May 12, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?$32.12May 12, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?$32.26May 11, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?$0.00May 11, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?$32.02May 10, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$28.57May 10, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?$32.74May 10, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$188.48May 9, 08:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $40.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".