Noisy-Tog
0x33959a2ecb7654c68f7efbb83807e22543e98cd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$548.35
Total PnL
$90.25
Realised
$94.31
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
2900 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$95.70
$-4.49
- YES
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
157 shares @ 56.2¢·now 57.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$90.22
$2.02
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
226 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$89.27
$-1.07
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1154 shares @ 5.9¢·now 4.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$54.26
$-13.82
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
66 shares @ 74.1¢·now 73.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$48.17
$-0.71
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
410 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$43.05
$2.05
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.63
$3.38
- NO
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
65 shares @ 39.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$29.25
$3.90
- NO
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
30 shares @ 79.3¢·now 86.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$25.63
$1.99
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
24 shares @ 62.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$15.60
$0.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.00May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$15.00May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$24.02May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$7.77May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$11.03May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.11May 18, 02:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.89May 17, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$13.43May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$22.89May 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$16.50May 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.60May 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.72May 17, 04:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.30May 17, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.57May 16, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$15.11May 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$7.10May 16, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$7.48May 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$7.48May 16, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".