Misty-Stimulus
0x33d3312d3c49dc7b54e1cf56b08cd936427b1766
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$164.95
Total PnL
$-92.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 67.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.58
$5.58
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.84
$13.84
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.13
$0.13
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.52
$-1.48
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.19
$-2.81
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
584 shares @ 8.6¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.01
$-35.99
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 13.3¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.00
$-8.00
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.47
$-0.53
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
16 shares @ 30.9¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.21
$-0.79
- NO
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$66.52May 16, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.27May 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 16, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$51.07May 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$20.00May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$20.00May 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$10.00May 12, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 8, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$17.68May 8, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$30.00May 8, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$23.31May 4, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 4, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$10.88Apr 7, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?$21.74Apr 7, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$47.95Apr 7, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$69.34Apr 7, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?$13.22Mar 5, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $18.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".