Green-Birdwatcher
0x3458ae6606828ed4d9666573e1585d9419efb5a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$17.9K
Total PnL
$-19.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1574 shares @ 76.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$256.33
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1234 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$4.16
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
754 shares @ 79.6¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$726.12
$126.12
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
1110 shares @ 81.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$660.65
$-239.35
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
695 shares @ 86.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$646.70
$46.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
664 shares @ 90.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$621.04
$21.04
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
698 shares @ 71.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$589.81
$89.81
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
420 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$403.57
$3.57
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
619 shares @ 83.4¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$386.59
$-129.26
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
404 shares @ 74.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$375.91
$75.91
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.19May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$200.00May 17, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-17?$20.03May 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$10.00May 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies$100.43May 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$101.08May 17, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.11May 17, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$14.49May 17, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?$20.29May 17, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?$21.27May 17, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$22.22May 17, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$134.47May 17, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Canadiens$568.18May 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-17?$10.06May 17, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-16?$11.00May 17, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$16.39May 17, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$16.39May 17, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$317.80May 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$501.80May 17, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$10.09May 17, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $58.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".