Irritating-Fatherinlaw
0x345e30d9244c6bbb7da5c9b4db0c07ac7bf273b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$50.01
Total PnL
$-43.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch?
51 shares @ 99.0¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$38.02
$-11.98
- NO
Will Devin Booker win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
50 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
48 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
24 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.62May 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 18?$6.00May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.03May 15, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.01May 15, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$27.18May 15, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Devin Booker win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?$10.00May 14, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.00May 13, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$27.18May 13, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$55.46May 13, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$54.61May 12, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$73.12May 11, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$26.30May 11, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$26.30May 9, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$72.28May 8, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.00May 7, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$89.54May 6, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.04May 6, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 23?$6.01Apr 30, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 29?$6.01Apr 30, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$11.31Apr 30, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $12.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".