Lonely-Provision
0x3532b7384129aa41371189c19c369f22461b7d40
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$11.87
Total PnL
$-2.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$5.81
$-1.19
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.33
$-0.13
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.83
$-0.27
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$7.14Apr 30, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$1.04Apr 30, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$3.89Apr 30, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$5.00Apr 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$4.00Mar 25, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.00Mar 25, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 25, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Mar 25, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Mar 25, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$4.79Feb 5, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$5.00Feb 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.10Feb 4, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Feb 4, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$3.00Feb 4, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$4.72Feb 4, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$4.87Feb 4, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$4.79Feb 4, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$4.79Feb 4, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$4.45Feb 4, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".