Ill-Fated-Bugle
0x35fe6793c59182007e8876057aa9648631868509
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.4K
Total PnL
$-12.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
40766 shares @ 22.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.1K
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
7265 shares @ 15.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$980.80
$-119.19
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
28662 shares @ 18.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$728.03
$-4.5K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
9270 shares @ 10.8¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$667.41
$-332.58
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
8452 shares @ 11.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$633.87
$-366.13
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2884 shares @ 17.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.78
$-370.22
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.86
$-32.14
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
128 shares @ 34.7¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.38
$-29.10
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.33
$-6.67
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
12374 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.0KApr 14, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$0.00Apr 14, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 6?$0.00Apr 14, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 5?$0.00Apr 14, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 5?$0.00Apr 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$24.90Apr 14, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 5?$0.00Apr 9, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.0KApr 8, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$1.0KApr 8, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$1000.00Apr 8, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.0KApr 8, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$100.00Apr 8, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$44.48Apr 8, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$100.00Apr 8, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 4?$0.00Apr 8, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on April 5?$0.00Apr 8, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$100.00Apr 8, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$10.00Apr 8, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$100.00Apr 8, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$100.00Apr 8, 05:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $359.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".