Dependent-Pad
0x370245623c708e96cb47fc17bafe32faa442829d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$785.16
Total PnL
$-411.75
Realised
$5.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
432 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$432.00
$52.27
- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
241 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$241.00
$180.75
- YES
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
707 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.44
$3.53
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
44 shares @ 44.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.72
$-2.64
- YES
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
671 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-167.75
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
593 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-373.59
- NO
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?
285 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.06
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?
72 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.44
- NO
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?
65 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.29
- NO
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
24 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?$103.48Apr 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?$204.36Apr 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$4.81Apr 27, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$4.81Apr 27, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$5.20Apr 27, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$106.73Apr 23, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?$251.52Apr 23, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?$127.36Apr 23, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$100.92Apr 12, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$385.41Apr 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$486.33Apr 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$271.58Apr 9, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$29.48Apr 9, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$39.38Apr 9, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$145.86Apr 9, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$231.21Apr 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$497.76Apr 7, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMOlympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce$667.00Apr 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$61.42Mar 31, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$55.61Mar 30, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $151.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".