Personal-Speculation
0x3767c2a5111f29d604d0d118e8761e4f35fb5e7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$429.78
Total PnL
$15.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
250 shares @ 44.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$123.74
$13.75
- NO
Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
100 shares @ 89.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$99.40
$9.90
- YES
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$82.50
$33.50
- NO
Will Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 54.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$54.35
$-40.65
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
57 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$48.50
$1.99
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.98
$0.38
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.89
$0.39
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.30May 13, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$49.00May 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$42.70May 12, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$41.71May 12, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.29May 12, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$24.00May 12, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$3.52May 12, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$4.56May 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.19May 8, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$18.22May 8, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$23.91May 8, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$89.78May 8, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$94.81May 8, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the fight be won by submission?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMFight to Go the Distance?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $14.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".