Well-Groomed-Fiesta
0x377e0c85501db4c5508d02f4f34aeeb5c2c1a9d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$873.23
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1994 shares @ 13.7¢·now 23.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$473.54
$200.96
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10702 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$229.01
$-49.22
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
530 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.85
$-13.25
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
796 shares @ 8.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.61
$-27.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$35.71
$25.71
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
16762 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-33.52
- NO
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
10449 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-295.78
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
8750 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-175.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?
8094 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-80.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$10.50May 21, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.35May 21, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.34May 21, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.33May 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$10.60May 21, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$10.56May 21, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$10.48May 21, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.30May 21, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.57May 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.28May 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.37May 21, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$13.51May 21, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$17.54May 21, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$12.13May 21, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$12.27May 21, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$15.93May 21, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$17.86May 21, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$17.91May 21, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$20.62May 21, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$28.34May 21, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $12.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 18:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 20:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".