Focused-Reasoning
0x37a0b1a8f556756c30d8852a1bcb4c67f0ef09bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$96.30
Total PnL
$-119.85
Realised
$-74.48
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
23 shares @ 66.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.55
$7.55
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
56 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.75
$2.55
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.36
$1.36
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.16
$2.16
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.58
$0.58
- YES
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-0.50
- ROYAL CHALLENGERS BENGALURU
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Trump kiss by May 31?
2 shares @ 59.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.67
$0.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings$1.75May 21, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?$1.04May 21, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Trump" 5+ times in Maine?$1.04May 21, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru$2.03May 21, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.96May 21, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings$1.01May 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$1.02May 20, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$1.02May 20, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.41May 20, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $6.23May 20, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants$1.72May 19, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?$3.33May 19, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump" 7+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?$2.94May 19, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?$4.00May 19, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$1.82May 18, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?$1.00May 18, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump" 7+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?$1.03May 18, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?$1.03May 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?$1.03May 18, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 18, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 19:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".