Guilty-Dew
0x381f4b69dbf6d97cecc7fd688ba9c9d7a540bc99
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-313.34
Realised
$-134.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
1241 shares @ 72.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$726.06
$-168.43
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1722 shares @ 28.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$542.52
$55.66
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
444 shares @ 69.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$357.51
$51.02
- YES
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
237 shares @ 71.8¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$134.85
$-35.15
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
375 shares @ 44.3¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$127.48
$-38.52
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
148 shares @ 61.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$87.79
$-2.21
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$85.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
399 shares @ 21.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.84
$-15.59
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.60
$3.60
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.16
$-2.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$238.38May 16, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$120.00May 16, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$89.00May 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$90.00May 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$64.51May 13, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$128.33May 11, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$28.40May 11, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$78.10May 11, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$202.56May 11, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$116.99May 11, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$57.59May 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$164.18May 10, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$19.38May 10, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$503.65May 10, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$200.00May 9, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$100.96May 8, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$500.15May 8, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$200.00May 8, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$15.06May 7, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$51.52May 7, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $75.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".