That-Macadamia
0x3825180182703613f3619d4611890c5b655504e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$70.7K
Total PnL
$-17.3K
Realised
$-792.86
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
9524 shares @ 67.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.6K
$177.07
- NO
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4242 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$103.37
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3955 shares @ 86.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.9K
$492.97
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
3338 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.3K
$156.21
- NO
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
3020 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$326.13
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4261 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.7K
$107.54
- NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
2650 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.6K
$29.80
- NO
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
2143 shares @ 80.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$366.34
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
1903 shares @ 89.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.9K
$199.09
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1600 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.6K
$14.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$5.63May 15, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.71May 15, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.22May 15, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.42May 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.63May 15, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.36May 15, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.27May 15, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$3.22May 15, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$0.20May 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$5.40May 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$3.86May 15, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$6.40May 15, 10:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".