Loyal-Archrival
0x383bcb7fd743088589c5fa761481f5117591f075
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$23.02
Total PnL
$-175.21
Realised
$2.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.40
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?
29 shares @ 15.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.92
$1.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 26?
60 shares @ 7.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.70
$1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?
290 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-102.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 18?
107 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.13
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
66 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 22?
40 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 13?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 25?$19.88May 25, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 26?$0.59May 25, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 26?$0.11May 25, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.98May 25, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 26?$0.96May 25, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 26?$3.04May 25, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.32May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.20May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.20May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.20May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.20May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.20May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.20May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.20May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.20May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.82May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.20May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?$0.41May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 25?$2.10May 25, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 25?$2.02May 25, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 17:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".