Willing-Eaves
0x38a46fccff1b72be55b9f7087f0ce0cf71f54ef2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$112.83
Total PnL
$98.46
Realised
$527.59
Win rate
75%
174 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
182 shares @ 3.1¢·now 22.9¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$41.75
$36.05
- YES
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
118 shares @ 6.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$8.28
$0.27
- YES
Will Stacy Rogers win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
118 shares @ 0.5¢·now 4.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$5.66
$5.04
- YES
Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch?
197 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.60
$-2.45
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?
107 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.18
$-0.22
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
312 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.68
$1.75
- YES
Will David Thelen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
134 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.01
$1.43
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Payton Talbott next?
371 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.41
$0.28
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
632 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.21
$-0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.93May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$0.03May 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?$1.40May 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?$3.00May 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?$0.11May 18, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$1.61May 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$0.03May 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$0.52May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$0.40May 18, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$0.33May 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$0.57May 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$0.46May 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$0.73May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$0.06May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$0.79May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11May 18, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.27May 18, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.54May 18, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$0.32May 18, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$0.40May 18, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 174 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".