Ultimate-Brushfire
0x392ae2a1fbc20cc1be679958f4a8809c8b49262d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$408.58
Realised
$116.62
Win rate
87%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
489 shares @ 66.5¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$470.93
$145.77
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
400 shares @ 59.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$298.00
$58.60
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
360 shares @ 67.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$261.00
$16.80
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
400 shares @ 55.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$242.00
$20.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 35.8¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$177.00
$-37.80
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$167.00
$17.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
206 shares @ 73.1¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$154.56
$3.96
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
200 shares @ 69.4¢·now 68.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.50
$-1.30
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
302 shares @ 38.6¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.84
$10.29
- NO
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.75
$5.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$36.00May 20, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?$121.50May 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?$74.00May 20, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?$3.65May 20, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?$14.09May 20, 02:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$20.00May 19, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$140.92May 19, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$100.00May 19, 04:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$107.73May 18, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$30.26May 18, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$4.29May 18, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$37.02May 18, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$5.88May 18, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$18.00May 18, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$25.00May 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?$30.40May 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$41.63May 18, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $40.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".