Thick-Normalisation
0x397c4f086755ecf5311a994c12970287ef9cca1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$180.35
Total PnL
$-12.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$24.86
$0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?
15 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$15.10
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 22?
16 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$15.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 22?
15 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$14.98
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on May 24?
15 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$14.92
$0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 22?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.00
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 23?
31 shares @ 15.9¢·now 24.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.56
$2.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.40
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or below on May 23?
101 shares @ 4.9¢·now 6.6¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.69
$1.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 24?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$6.02
$1.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 21?$4.97May 22, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?$10.00May 22, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 87°F or below on May 21?$20.00May 22, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 21?$20.00May 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 22?$9.90May 22, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on May 24?$14.70May 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?$4.15May 22, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?$4.15May 22, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 22?$15.03May 22, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?$10.01May 22, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 23?$5.21May 22, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 23?$10.44May 22, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or below on May 23?$5.24May 22, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 24?$5.07May 22, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 24?$5.01May 22, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 24?$5.07May 22, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 24?$5.02May 22, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 24?$5.16May 22, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 24?$5.16May 22, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 24?$5.17May 22, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".