Liquid-Argument
0x39a5f94e851642404751cc5310edaa180eac87f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$14.3K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$-323.41
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
5015 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$386.15
- NO
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
3162 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.1K
$120.07
- NO
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
5508 shares @ 25.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.9K
$552.11
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1048 shares @ 20.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$665.48
$455.88
- YES
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
529 shares @ 70.7¢·now 81.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$428.49
$54.26
- NO
Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?
371 shares @ 64.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$307.93
$68.27
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
445 shares @ 53.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$289.25
$53.40
- NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
264 shares @ 78.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$263.47
$57.17
- NO
Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?
275 shares @ 62.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$240.63
$68.72
- NO
Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
200 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$199.50
$12.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$209.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.2KMay 18, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carnell Tate be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$4.1KMay 17, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$4.0KMay 17, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$98.66May 16, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$78.47May 16, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$39.67May 16, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$10.00May 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$5.17May 16, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $106.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".