Watery-Export
0x39a81adb16cc8d7da96349a63ca33da4ff9b7d57
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-142.90
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
1193 shares @ 58.4¢·now 30.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$357.93
$-339.23
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
668 shares @ 57.3¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.74
$-188.94
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
839 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$139.65
$9.65
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
489 shares @ 52.2¢·now 22.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$109.98
$-145.20
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
468 shares @ 17.1¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$84.91
$4.91
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
671 shares @ 53.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$83.85
$-277.73
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
676 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$76.69
$1.69
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
708 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$64.11
$3.19
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
747 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$62.38
$-2.61
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
343 shares @ 46.5¢·now 15.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$51.47
$-107.99
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.36May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$27.62May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$9.08May 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$101.00May 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$14.40May 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$27.90May 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$175.00May 17, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 4.5$165.00May 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 4.5$160.00May 17, 12:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$0.00May 16, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$300.23May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$195.38May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$169.55May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$108.19May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$156.00May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$15.60May 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$8.00May 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$30.07May 16, 21:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $129.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".