Scratchy-Bother
0x39df94321f18314520005493c576d6603d0d64a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$331.89
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2619 shares @ 19.1¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$488.45
$-11.55
- NO
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
500 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$462.33
$62.33
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2431 shares @ 20.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$404.77
$-95.22
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
400 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$331.72
$11.78
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.35
$2.35
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1131 shares @ 9.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$96.71
$-13.29
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
466 shares @ 32.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.88
$-59.12
- NO
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?
149 shares @ 33.5¢·now 53.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.75
$29.75
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
59 shares @ 85.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.46
$3.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$51.36May 11, 18:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?$85.52May 6, 20:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?$80.72May 5, 19:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?$100.60May 4, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?$20.20May 4, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$890.18May 4, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $204.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".