Downright-Method
0x3b9e797eaacdb2c4a69206095f515e7d787b67c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$317.63
Total PnL
$-315.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
80 shares @ 71.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$74.00
$16.80
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
1079 shares @ 17.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.13
$-119.68
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
110 shares @ 32.5¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.90
$7.10
- YES
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
124 shares @ 19.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.73
$14.23
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1661 shares @ 12.7¢·now 2.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.22
$-178.33
- YES
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
380 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.60
$-19.00
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.10
$-0.50
- YES
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
132 shares @ 18.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.88
$-14.56
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.38
$-6.63
- YES
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
24 shares @ 54.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.63
$-10.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$30.60Apr 24, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$16.50Apr 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$39.87Apr 22, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?$0.00Apr 22, 20:25 UTC
- REWARD$5.29Apr 22, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$8.00Apr 19, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$8.00Apr 19, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$8.00Apr 19, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$1.92Apr 19, 10:34 UTC
- REWARD$1.20Apr 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$15.73Apr 18, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$5.22Apr 18, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$8.00Apr 18, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$1.13Apr 18, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.19Apr 18, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$11.00Apr 18, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$36.00Apr 18, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$0.00Apr 18, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$70.00Apr 18, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$17.57Apr 18, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".