Daring-Arrest
0x3befeda4be4155933aaae90d8cccc638b397485b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-12.9K
Realised
$-10.19
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1416 shares @ 28.4¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$531.11
$128.39
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
3378 shares @ 11.5¢·now 12.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$430.75
$40.67
- NO
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
344 shares @ 91.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$311.52
$-2.89
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
367 shares @ 80.2¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$298.17
$4.22
- YES
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?
283 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$283.13
$215.18
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1409 shares @ 19.1¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$262.71
$-6.90
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
329 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$251.85
$-5.06
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
208 shares @ 72.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$192.71
$42.71
- NO
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
772 shares @ 28.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$181.52
$-36.85
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
436 shares @ 34.4¢·now 40.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$174.43
$24.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.16May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-03?$431.35May 17, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?$570.98May 17, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?$722.55May 17, 21:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$177.94May 16, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$159.74May 14, 06:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 14, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)$10.42May 13, 23:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-3.5)$152.07May 12, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$117.47May 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5$151.53May 12, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$153.46May 12, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMAvalanche vs. Wild$365.85May 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$90.28May 12, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$88.13May 12, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$88.59May 12, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $131.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".