Plush-Sword
0x3c0efe173ea6fa5fa5d49fdf73bcd018adb6b14a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$127.29
Total PnL
$-52.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
33 shares @ 46.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.26
$15.21
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$9.64
$-0.36
- YES
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.08
$-0.92
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.73
$1.73
- NO
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.27
$0.30
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$5.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$10.00May 17, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 17, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$10.09May 17, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$10.00May 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 18?$10.28May 17, 20:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$10.45May 14, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 14, 15:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$7.04May 13, 07:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$12.50May 9, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$42.64May 9, 01:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".