0x3c14dc5d3d0109dbc27dafe49e7060473224ffa5
0x3c14dc5d3d0109dbc27dafe49e7060473224ffa5
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$537.96
Total PnL
$-73.70
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
118 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$111.94
$2.96
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
109 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$91.77
$1.63
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
73 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$68.65
$1.46
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
53 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$50.19
$1.33
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
54 shares @ 92.2¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$47.91
$-1.73
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
51 shares @ 93.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$44.26
$-3.66
- NO
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
52 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$43.45
$-2.62
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
2583 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$41.33
$-72.33
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.90
$-1.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$11.42
$0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?$5.41Apr 2, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?$7.72Mar 29, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?$6.08Mar 29, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?$1.98Mar 24, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?$10.85Mar 18, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 18?$8.33Mar 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 18?$9.17Mar 18, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 18?$11.19Mar 18, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on March 17?$12.08Mar 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 18?$9.33Mar 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 18?$11.10Mar 18, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassone$11.05Mar 18, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Katie Boulter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro$0.00Mar 18, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 18?$11.03Mar 18, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Jay Clarke$0.00Mar 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 18?$9.41Mar 18, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 17?$11.70Mar 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassone$3.69Mar 17, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.00Mar 17, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLMorelos: Alex Hernandez vs Tibo Colson$3.09Mar 17, 22:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 22:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".